Thursday, December 29, 2011

Heartbreak flush

Last night, I had my lengthiest poker session ever - 201 hands. As you might suspect, it wasn't a winning session. However, I played quite well. I was essentially done in by a single hand - hand 167. Had I won it, as I had every reason to expect, I would have raked in a pot worth $68,728. In all probability, I would have ended my night immediately afterwards; that would have given me a nice profit of slightly over $36,000. Instead, I lost $32,764. I only avoided hitting the felt because of the happy accident that the opponent who won the pot had started the hand with $7,548 less chips than I had. Here's what went down:

Table 'Anchises VIII' 9-max (Play Money) Seat #4 is the button
Seat 1: (35500 in chips)
Seat 2: (63700 in chips)
Seat 3: neostreet (40312 in chips)
Seat 4: (15100 in chips)
Seat 5: (33000 in chips)
Seat 6: (32764 in chips)
Seat 7: (40000 in chips)
Seat 9: (18400 in chips)
Seat 5: posts small blind 100
Seat 6: posts big blind 200
Seat 7: posts big blind 200
Seat 1: posts big blind 200
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to neostreet [8s Ks]
Seat 7: checks
Seat 9: folds
Seat 1: checks
Seat 2: folds
neostreet: calls 200
Seat 4: calls 200
Seat 5: calls 100
Seat 6: checks
*** FLOP *** [5s Qs 3s]
Seat 5: checks
Seat 6: checks
Seat 7: checks
Seat 1: checks
neostreet: bets 2400
Seat 4: calls 2400
Seat 5: folds
Seat 6: calls 2400
Seat 7: folds
Seat 1: folds
*** TURN *** [5s Qs 3s] [Jc]
Seat 6: checks
neostreet: bets 37712 and is all-in
Seat 4: folds
Seat 6: calls 30164 and is all-in
Uncalled bet (7548) returned to neostreet
*** RIVER *** [5s Qs 3s Jc] [Qc]
*** SHOW DOWN ***
Seat 6: shows [As 2s] (a flush, Ace high)
neostreet: shows [8s Ks] (a flush, King high)
Seat 6 collected 68728 from pot
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot 68728 | Rake 0
Board [5s Qs 3s Jc Qc]
Seat 1: Seat 1 folded on the Flop
Seat 2: Seat 2 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 3: neostreet showed [8s Ks] and lost with a flush, King high
Seat 4: Seat 4 (button) folded on the Turn
Seat 5: Seat 5 (small blind) folded on the Flop
Seat 6: Seat 6 (big blind) showed [As 2s] and won (68728) with a flush, Ace high
Seat 7: Seat 7 folded on the Flop
Seat 9: Seat 9 folded before Flop (didn't bet)

This was the most heartbreaking flush I've ever lost. The only concern I had was that someone had the ace of spades and a non-spade, and that a fourth community spade might show up on the turn or the river. I never for a millisecond considered the possibility of someone having the ace of spades and a second spade. The odds were just so long against it. I ran my "percent at flop" calculator on my hand combined with that flop and discovered it beat 96.51% of all other possible hands. I just happened to run into one of the 3.49% of hands that could beat mine.

I'm proud that I didn't go on tilt, and that I kept battling. I realize that if you play long enough, these heartbreak hands will happen to you every so often. I said it once before, but it bears repeating - one of the most important lessons poker teaches you is that the improbable happens. That's actually very good news!

During current Hold'em session you were dealt 201 hands and saw flop:
- 28 out of 32 times while in big blind (87%)
- 26 out of 32 times while in small blind (81%)
- 100 out of 137 times in other positions (72%)
- a total of 154 out of 201 (76%)
Pots won at showdown - 17 of 31 (54%)
Pots won without showdown - 16

delta: $-24,512
balance: $3,387,769

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