Wednesday, December 29, 2010

Bad beat

Last night I hit the felt again, and the way it happened was extra painful. I find myself forced to revise my philosophy on "bad beats". To recap, up to now I've claimed that the concept of a bad beat is nothing other than a tactless way of expressing one's displeasure with a statistically improbable event; in other words, sour grapes. That might be true in an ideal poker world; however, in the real poker world, play is often far from ideal. Let me first show you the hand that did me in; afterward, I'll explain what I mean.

Table 'Bohlinia VI' 9-max (Play Money) Seat #3 is the button
Seat 1: (50597 in chips)
Seat 2: (34200 in chips)
Seat 3: (49800 in chips)
Seat 4: neostreet (34600 in chips)
Seat 5: (83394 in chips)
Seat 6: (52400 in chips)
Seat 7: (11000 in chips)
Seat 8: (7700 in chips)
Seat 9: (41100 in chips)
neostreet: posts small blind 100
Seat 5: posts big blind 200
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to neostreet [Ad Ac]
Seat 6: calls 200
Seat 7: calls 200
Seat 8: calls 200
Seat 9: calls 200
Seat 1: calls 200
Seat 2: calls 200
Seat 3: folds
Seat 3 leaves the table
neostreet: raises 200 to 400
Seat 5: raises 600 to 1000
Seat 6: calls 800
Seat 7: calls 800
Seat 8: calls 800
Seat 9: calls 800
Väns Fhüdher joins the table at seat #3
Seat 1: calls 800
Seat 2: calls 800
neostreet: raises 8000 to 9000
Seat 5: folds
Seat 6: calls 8000
Seat 7: raises 2000 to 11000 and is all-in
Seat 8: calls 6700 and is all-in
Seat 9: folds
Seat 1: folds
Seat 2: calls 10000
neostreet: calls 2000
Seat 6: calls 2000
*** FLOP *** [2d Js Ks]
neostreet: bets 23600 and is all-in
Seat 6: calls 23600
Seat 2: folds
*** TURN *** [2d Js Ks] [Jd]
*** RIVER *** [2d Js Ks Jd] [9d]
*** SHOW DOWN ***
neostreet: shows [Ad Ac] (two pair, Aces and Jacks)
Seat 6: shows [Kd 5d] (a flush, King high)
Seat 6 collected 47200 from side pot-2
Seat 7: shows [8c 6h] (a pair of Jacks)
Seat 6 collected 13200 from side pot-1
Seat 8: shows [Tc Td] (two pair, Jacks and Tens)
Seat 6 collected 41500 from main pot

Seat 6 had two pair, kings and jacks, after the flop. The only way he should have figured he could beat me was if he hit a king for a full house or hit running diamonds for a diamond flush. He should have known by the way I was betting that I had pocket rockets. A jack would have done him no good, since that would have given me a better full house than his. There's no way he should have called my $23,600 bet. If he'd been playing rationally, he would have folded, and I would have won the pot. However, since he didn't play rationally, and the running diamonds hit, he basically stole the pot from me. That's a bad beat!

I admit, there's more than a whiff of sour grapes about this. The thing is, I'd play the same hand the same way every time. I have no misgivings about the correctness of my play.

During current Hold'em session you were dealt 14 hands and saw flop:
- 1 out of 2 times while in big blind (50%)
- 2 out of 3 times while in small blind (66%)
- 5 out of 9 times in other positions (55%)
- a total of 8 out of 14 (57%)
Pots won at showdown - 1 of 3 (33%)
Pots won without showdown - 0

delta: $-40,000
balance: $822,846

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