Wednesday, September 27, 2017

The perils of flopping a monster

It's always nice to flop a monster. However, doing so has attendant perils. Strangely enough, one of them is improving your hand on the river. Why should that be? For the simple reason that the river card may have improved an opponent's hand as well. That is precisely what happened to me when I hit the felt for the first time in the only tournament I played last night. I flopped a straight, but my hand improved to a flush on the river. Unfortunately, that gave one of the two opponents I went to showdown with a better flush. Ouch! Here are the numbers:

- preflop, I was a 31.5% dog
- after the flop, I was an 83.39% favorite
- after the turn, I was 76.19% favorite

83 and 76 are great percentages when you're heads up; when you're up against two opponents, they're gigantic. What can I say? I got my money in good, and that's what really matters.

style flavor buy_in entry players hands entries paid place winnings

MTT-R NLHE    43500  6500       9    57      49   12    24        0


delta: $-200,000
MTT with rebuys NLHE balance: $17,572,500
2017 balance: $18,504,150
balance: $29,921,980

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