Saturday, December 12, 2015

Evermore and ever better correction

It turns out my probability radar was off, after all. Instead of just 2, I've actually had 6 evermore and ever better sessions:

date          delta  count

2012-07-17  -243000      3
2012-08-17   251150      4
2015-04-07    -5550      3
2015-12-04     2400      3
2015-12-08    95800      5
2015-12-09   -30000      3


Note that I only consider sessions where I played 3 or more sit and gos to be eligible. As the 2012-07-17 session vividly demonstrates, you can lose a ton of play money even when you're steadily improving throughout a session.

buy_in entry players hands entries paid place winnings

  9000  1000       9    14      18    4    13        0
  9000  1000       9    53      18    4     9        0
  9000  1000       9    84      18    4     4    16200
  9000  1000       9    54      18    4     9        0

delta: $-23,800
Sit and go no limit hold'em balance: $2,395,675
balance: $10,171,239

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