Friday, November 13, 2015

Lonesome ace

One of the deceptive things about sit and gos is that no matter what buy in you pick, and no matter what number of tournaments per session you pick, there will always be more unique winning deltas than unique losing deltas. For example, at my current favorite combo of $90,000 buy in and four tournaments played per session, there are eleven unique winning deltas but only four unique losing deltas. The reason this is deceptive is that there are many more combinations (155) which result in one of the 4 losing deltas than there are combinations (55) which result in one of the 11 winning ones. For example, there's only one way to achieve the greatest winning delta of $1,004,000, but there are 70 ways to achieve the greatest losing delta of $-400,000.

Last night, I had a lonesome ace session since I managed one first place in the four tournaments. That's happened to me once before at the $90,000 buy in level, just four sessions prior to last night's. I'll take a lonesome ace over a shutout any day :-)

buy_in entry players hands place winnings

 90000 10000       6    70     1   351000
 90000 10000       6    35     5        0
 90000 10000       6    39     3        0
 90000 10000       6    40     5        0


delta: $-49,000
2015 balance: $-959,166
Sit and go no limit hold'em balance: $1,272,700
balance: $8,663,164

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