I've been looking at my premium hand stats, and they're not stellar. In the seven tournaments where I've manually recorded hand data, I've been dealt premium hands ten times. Since I was dealt a total of 193 hands, I've been getting premium hands at a 5.18% clip. That's higher than the expected 4.52%, so I have no complaints there. The problem is my win rate; I've won just three of the hands, and lost seven. I realize there's a hole in my data; I'm only recording folds which came before the flop or on the river. It's important to record folds which came on the flop or on the turn also. Of the seven hands I lost, I lost one at showdown and folded the rest. Of the six I folded, I only know at what point the fold occurred in one case, when I folded to a river bet. In the other five hands, I either folded on the flop or on the turn, but have no way of knowing which. That just won't do. I'll remedy that, going forward, by taking the little bit of extra time I'll need to record the additional data. Note: the stats below are from Wednesday's session; I didn't play yesterday.
style flavor buy_in entry players entries paid place winnings
MTT NLHE 44000 6000 9 251 63 117 0
MTT NLHE 44000 6000 9 407 99 135 0
MTT NLHE 44000 6000 9 321 81 120 0
delta: $-150,000
2025 balance: $-1,227,000
2025 blue distance: $1,227,000
balance: $15,070,303
MTT NLHE ITM pct: 41.42 (1296 of 3129)
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