Thursday, September 26, 2024

yaff

"yaff" is my latest neo neo (neostreet neologism). It stands for "yet another flopped fatty".

One of the fascinating things about poker is that the improbable happens like clockwork. I've mentioned this before, but it bears repeating. What I mean by this is that no matter how unlikely a particular event is, you can rely on it to occur with its own particular frequency. You might think that flopping a fatty is an unusual event, but I'm here to tell you that it's actually not. Even though you can only expect it to happen to you once out of every 694 hands, you can expect it to happen to you once out of every 694 hands. This sounds like a tautology, but it's not. As long as you keep playing, you can expect to keep flopping fatties every 694 hands. In other words, you will never stop flopping fatties! Is life great, or what? :-)

This is an excerpt from my August 1, 2013 post. Last night, I flopped a fatty in the first tournament I played. I'd been dealt KTo (king ten offsuit), and two kings and a ten showed up in the flop. Everyone still in the hand checked it down until the river, when I put in a minimum bet, got two callers, and thereby extracted the most value from my holding that I could reasonably expect.

style flavor buy_in  entry players entries paid place winnings

MTT   NLHE    88000  12000       9     232   63    43   193000
MTT   NLHE    88000  12000       9     290   72   121        0

delta: $-7,000
2024 balance: $2,485,000
2024 blue distance: $7,000
balance: $15,294,303
MTT NLHE ITM pct: 41.38 (1200 of 2900)

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