Monday, August 7, 2017

Blue after blue

I've always taken an interest in the times when I've managed to bring a particular balance back into the blue - i.e., to a new all-time high. I've looked at blue counts, and I've looked at blue percentages. One thing I never thought to look at before yielded an intriguing anomaly. I decided to look at how well I do in sessions immediately following a session where I got a balance back into the blue. The results surprised me; I thought I'd do no better or worse than my average winning percentage for that balance. However, it turns out I do better in sessions following blue ones than I do in sessions which don't follow blue ones. Blue after blue seems to be a real thing :-) Here are my numbers for MTT-R NLHEs:

winning percentage: 56.75
blue after blue percentage: 62.96

One possible explanation is the confidence you get when a balance goes into the blue; nothing is weighing on your mind, and nothing is holding you back. Psychologically speaking, that can only help your game.

style flavor buy_in entry players hands entries paid place winnings

MTT-R NLHE    43500  6500       9    40      82   18    56        0
SNG   NLHE    17000  3000       9    77      18    4     3    61200
MTT-R NLHE    43500  6500       9   114      68   15    11   395000


delta: $136,200
MTT with rebuys NLHE balance: $19,816,500
2017 balance: $20,701,275
balance: $32,119,105

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