Wednesday, October 21, 2015

A jewel in the trash

I'm constantly rooting around in my poker data, looking for patterns and also for outliers. As I've mentioned before, 2015 is my worst poker year by far. It's been so bad that I didn't believe I'd ever find anything remotely positive in the 2015 data. I'm happy to report that I was wrong :-) Yesterday, I found a jewel in the trash. Previously I'd only looked at 2015 numbers broken out by poker style and poker flavor. When I added buy in to the mix, lo and behold I found one big positive result - sit and go no limit hold'em at the $45,000 buy in level. Here are my year-to-date numbers:

 sum(delta)   count   style       flavor               buy_in

   $474,000      78   Sit & Go    No Limit Hold'em    $45,000
    $58,400      19   Sit & Go    8-Game               $9,000
    $21,232      52   MTT         No Limit Hold'em       $900
    $18,020      64   MTT         8-Game               $4,500
    $10,000      79   Spin & Go   No Limit Hold'em     $9,200
     $7,400      16   Sit & Go    No Limit Hold'em     $9,000
     $4,910       4   Sit & Go    8-Game                 $900
     $2,600       1   Sit & Go    HORSE                  $900
    $-1,000       1   Sit & Go    No Limit Hold'em       $900
    $-1,100      31   Sit & Go    No Limit Hold'em     $4,500
   $-10,000       1   MTT         No Limit Hold'em     $9,000
   $-10,660       5   MTT         No Limit Hold'em     $4,500
   $-64,160      25   MTT         HORSE                $4,500
  $-135,500      20   Sit & Go    No Limit Hold'em    $22,500
  $-429,000      78   Sit & Go    No Limit Hold'em    $90,000
  $-600,000      12   Sit & Go    8-Game              $45,000
  $-685,808      52   Cash game   No Limit Hold'em       NULL
$-1,000,000       1   Sit & Go    No Limit Hold'em   $900,000


This is encouraging, and I'll see how well I can do by sticking with this combination for the remainder of the year.

style flavor buy_in entry players hands place winnings

SNG   NLHE    45000  5000       6    37     2    94500
SNG   NLHE    45000  5000       6    20     5        0
SNG   NLHE    45000  5000       6    65     4        0
SNG   NLHE    45000  5000       6    55     1   175500


delta: $70,000
Sit and go no limit hold'em balance: $191,200
balance: $7,281,664

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