Before the money bubble bursts in a tournament, it's rarely a good idea to allow yourself to fall in. The reason is simple - by doing so, you put yourself completely at the mercy of fate. It's almost always better to go all in on your own terms, by backing a hand that's likely to be better than the random hand you get when you fall in. Last night, I allowed myself to fall in, and was lucky enough to receive a really premium fall-in holding - ATo (ace ten offsuit). Up against a single opponent who'd been dealt 75s (seven five suited), I was a 60.87% favorite before the flop, a 52.63% favorite after the flop, and a 68.18% favorite after the turn. However, my opponent spiked a flush on the river, and that was all she wrote.
style flavor buy_in entry players hands entries paid place winnings
MTT-R NLHE 43500 6500 9 64 57 12 15 0
delta: $-100,000
MTT with rebuys NLHE balance: $38,764,000
2019 balance: $4,760,250
balance: $51,344,510
Monday, April 15, 2019
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