Showing posts with label winning session indicator. Show all posts
Showing posts with label winning session indicator. Show all posts

Monday, August 26, 2013

Winning session indicator

Looking back over last night's session, I came up with what I hope will turn out to be a pretty good indicator of a winning session. I'll need to run it on my historical data to verify if it's any good. For now, I'll just describe it. I'm only considering sessions where I didn't hit the felt. Here goes:

1. add 1 to the number of hands, then divide that number by 2, rounding down; call the result m
2. divide the number of won pots by 2, rounding down, then add 1; call the result n
3. determine the zero-based number of the hand where you won pot number n; call the result p
4. calculate p / m
5. if p / m >= some magic number, you had a winning session

I know the magic number has to be > 1. I'll pick a number out of a hat for a first stab at the magic number: 1.33. Running this on the data from last night's session:

1. (1 + 60) / 2 = 61 / 2 = 30.5; m = 30
2. 10 / 2 + 1 = 5 + 1 = 6; n = 6
3. p = 42
4. p / m = 1.4
5. p / m >= 1.33, so the indicator says this was a winning session

During current Hold'em session you were dealt 60 hands and saw flop:
 - 6 out of 8 times while in big blind (75%)
 - 6 out of 8 times while in small blind (75%)
 - 21 out of 44 times in other positions (47%)
 - a total of 33 out of 60 (55%)
 Pots won at showdown - 5 of 6 (83%)
 Pots won without showdown - 5

delta: $12,299
cash game no limit hold'em balance: $4,864,077
balance: $7,221,030