Monday, September 30, 2019

Equity avalanche

It's amazing, the devastation that can be wrought by the turn of a single card. Your equity in the hand can take a sudden, fatal downturn. That's what happened to me on the final hand of the second MTT NLHE I entered last night. I was dealt pocket nines, went all in preflop with them, and got one caller. When he turned over A7o (ace seven offsuit), I knew I was in great shape. The flop came 6s Qh 7d, and my equity increased from 70.43% to 79.80%. Then the avalanche struck. The turn card was the ace of diamonds, and the bottom dropped out of my equity. At this point I only had a 4.55% chance of winning the hand. You know the rest :-)

style flavor buy_in entry players hands entries paid place winnings

MTT-R NLHE    43500  6500       9    52      56   12    19        0
MTT   NLHE    45000  5000       6     9      64   18     0        0
MTT   NLHE   174000 26000       6    54      73   21    37        0


delta: $-400,000
MTT NLHE balance: $3,708,668
2019 balance: $15,279,850
balance: $61,814,110

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