Thursday, August 29, 2019

Smooth odds

Quite often after hitting the rail in a tournament, I'll run my odds calculators on the final hand to see what my odds of winning it were at three different points: before the flop, after the flop, and after the turn. It's common to see the odds fluctuate quite a bit, even flipping which player is the favorite. It's not common when the odds hardly fluctuate at all, but that was the case with my last hand of the night. Here are the numbers:

before the flop: 70.46%
after the flop:  68.59%
after the turn:  70.45%

Now that's what I call smooth odds :-)

style flavor buy_in entry players hands entries paid place winnings

MTT   NLHE    45000  5000       9   114     123   36    10   132000
MTT-B NLHE    87000 13000       9    50     203   45    49        0
MTT-R NLHE    43500  6500       9    34      45    9    34        0


delta: $-118,000
MTT NLHE balance: $4,420,668
2019 balance: $17,131,850
balance: $63,716,110

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